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The Record · Atlanta Residential · 2026

Atlanta residential, 2026

Rates climbed from 6.10% in January to 6.86% by September while supply built to a record.

The market got busier and more negotiable at the same time, a supply-led softening into firm rates.

Written and built by Jake Griffith. Period: January to September 2026 (Zillow through August; September rates only)
Compiled: October 2026, from the public series as they stood

30-year fixed, monthly average

6.86% (Sep)▲

Open 6.10% · High 6.86% · Low 6.05%

Change +0.76 pts on the year

Metro ZHVI

$377,428 (Aug)▼

Open $381,319 · High $381,319 · Low $377,428

Change -1.0% on the year

Active inventory

34,194 (Aug)▲

Open 28,684 · High 34,194 · Low 27,810

Change +19.2% on the year

Months of supply

5.0 (Aug)▼

Open 6.3 · High 6.3 · Low 3.8

Change -1.25 on the year

Median sale price

$392,500 (Jul)▲

Open $358,150 · High $392,500 · Low $358,150

Change +9.6% on the year

Median days to pending

42 (Aug)▼

Open 61 · High 61 · Low 33

Change -19 days on the year

Sales count (nowcast)

6,812 (Aug)▲

Open 4,576 · High 8,421 · Low 4,576

Change +48.9% on the year

Price-cut share

30.5% (Aug)▲

Open 22.6% · High 30.5% · Low 22.5%

Change +8.0 pts on the year

ZORI (rent)

$1,853 (Aug)▲

Open $1,805 · High $1,853 · Low $1,805

Change +2.6% on the year

Jump to01 · Rates and affordability02 · Prices and valuations03 · Inventory and supply04 · Buyer and seller activity05 · Rent and the carrying cost06 · The month reads

01 · Rates and affordability

Rates and affordability

The year's rate path set the affordability math for every corridor file.

The 30-year fixed through 2026, against the long-run norm
30-year
6.0%7.0%8.0%percentJan '26May '26Sep '26since-1971 avg 7.7%30-year 6.9%low 6.0% (2026-02)6.0%7.0%8.0%percentJan '26May '26Sep '26since-1971 avg 7.7% 6.9%low 6.0% (2026-02)

FREDDIE MAC PMMS VIA FRED · UNITED STATES · JAN-SEP 2026 · MONTHLY AVERAGE, PERCENTConstruction is The Record's own. Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey, series MORTGAGE30US.

How it got here

Opened at 6.10% and closed 6.86% (Sep), a move of +0.76 pts against the since-1971 norm of 7.68%.

The other side

The ten-year Treasury led the path, so the year's move was a base-rate move, not a widening spread.

In the corridor

Every hundred basis points on the 30-year reshaped the north-metro payment stack more than any price move did.

02 · Prices and valuations

Prices and valuations

Value drifted while the mix of what sold moved the headline median.

Metro and county home values through 2026
MetroFultonGwinnettCherokee
$350K$400K$450K$500KZHVI, dollarsJan '26May '26Sep '26Metro $377KFulton $415KGwinnett $403KCherokee $471Kpeak $381K (2026-01)low $377K (2026-08)$350K$400K$450K$500KZHVI, dollarsJan '26May '26Sep '26 $377K $415K $403K $471Kpeak $381K (2026-01)low $377K (2026-08)

ZILLOW RESEARCH · ATLANTA METRO AND COUNTIES · JAN-SEP 2026 · ZHVI, MID-TIER, $Construction is The Record's own. Zillow Research ZHVI, metro and county, mid-tier seasonally adjusted.

How it got here

The metro ZHVI ran from $381,319 to $377,428 (Aug), a change of -1.0% on the year.

The other side

Typical value and the median sale price can diverge: a richer mix of closings lifts the median even when the index drifts.

In the corridor

Fulton's typical value held near $415K, above the metro, the corridor's premium band.

03 · Inventory and supply

Inventory and supply

Supply is where the year broke from the prior two.

Active inventory through 2026
Active inventory
27,50030,00032,50035,000active listingsJan '26May '26Sep '26Active inventory 34,194peak 34,194 (2026-08)low 27,810 (2026-02)27,50030,00032,50035,000active listingsJan '26May '26Sep '26 34,194peak 34,194 (2026-08)low 27,810 (2026-02)

ZILLOW RESEARCH · ATLANTA METRO · JAN-SEP 2026 · ACTIVE LISTINGS, COUNTConstruction is The Record's own. Zillow Research active for-sale inventory, metro.

How it got here

Active listings ran from 28,684 to 34,194 (Aug), a change of +19.2% across the year.

The other side

The build came from accumulation, homes listing at a normal pace and clearing slowly, not from a flood of new listings.

In the corridor

More selection and more time is a buyer's condition; for a seller it is the year the default advantage narrowed.

04 · Buyer and seller activity

Buyer and seller activity

The pace carried the year's negotiation, not the asking price.

Median days to pending through 2026
Days to pending
4060days to pendingJan '26May '26Sep '26Days to pending 42peak 61 (2026-01)low 33 (2026-05)4060days to pendingJan '26May '26Sep '26 42peak 61 (2026-01)low 33 (2026-05)

ZILLOW RESEARCH · ATLANTA METRO · JAN-SEP 2026 · MEDIAN DAYS TO PENDINGConstruction is The Record's own. Zillow Research median days to pending, metro.

How it got here

Days to pending ran from 61 to 42 (Aug), a change of -19 days on the year.

The other side

Clearing shifted to concession and days rather than a cut at the list price, which the price-cut share tracked.

In the corridor

A listing that would have cleared in a weekend now waits, so pricing to the corridor's pace matters more than the asking headline.

05 · Rent and the carrying cost

Rent and the carrying cost

Rent climbed steadily while the rate reset the own-versus-rent line.

Rent against the monthly cost to own through 2026
Rent (ZORI)Own (P&I)
$1,700$1,800$1,900$2,000dollars per monthJan '26May '26Sep '26Rent (ZORI) $1,853Own (P&I) $1,993peak $1,853 (2026-08)low $1,805 (2026-01)$1,700$1,800$1,900$2,000dollars per monthJan '26May '26Sep '26 $1,853 $1,993peak $1,853 (2026-08)low $1,805 (2026-01)

ZILLOW RESEARCH; COMPUTED P&I · ATLANTA METRO · JAN-SEP 2026 · DOLLARS PER MONTHConstruction is The Record's own. Zillow ZORI and computed principal-and-interest on the median home, 20% down, 30-year.

How it got here

Rent ran from $1,805 to $1,853 (Aug), a change of +2.6%, a steadier climb than values.

The other side

As the rate rose, the cost to own on principal and interest widened against the typical rent, moving the margin toward renting.

In the corridor

For a corridor client weighing rent against a purchase, the rate, not the price, moved the own-versus-rent line this year.

06 · The month reads

The month reads

Each month of 2026, its one-sentence read and three figures, linking to the full page: nine months, January to September.

JanuaryStudyRates fell to the lowest average in this record, sales collapsed again after December's rebound, days to pending stretched past two months at 61;and the household income needed to buy a typical home eased from its 2025 peak even as press reports described new federal attention to institutional buyers in the metro.6.10%30-yr avg$381KMetro ZHVI6.3Mo. supplyFebruaryStudyFebruary printed the cheapest financing of the entire two-year record, the thirty-year fixed averaging 6.05 percent and the payment on the median home falling to $1,731;yet national existing-home sales posted their slowest February since 2009 and Atlanta led every large metro in cancelled contracts, proof that a rate low does not by itself clear a stalled market.6.05%30-yr avg$381KMetro ZHVI5.0Mo. supplyMarchStudyAn energy shock pushed mortgage rates to their highest since the fall just as the spring season opened, the national price index posted its first annual decline since 2012;and Atlanta's values extended a long slide while consumer sentiment fell to a crisis-era low, even as the metro's own pace of sales sped up on the month.6.18%30-yr avg$380KMetro ZHVI3.9Mo. supplyAprilStudyRates traced an oil-driven dip and a partial rebound inside the same month, demand answered every move within days, and the metro's spring volume jump arrived with a relisting rate still running more than twice its typical pace;which was the real story under the seasonal bounce.6.33%30-yr avg$380KMetro ZHVI3.8Mo. supplyMayStudyThe daily rate reached 6.75 percent, the highest since July 2025, and a brief national pending-sales recovery reversed within a week of it;yet the metro's own transaction pace hit the busiest reading anywhere in the two-year record, the sales-count nowcast peaking at 8,421 even as days to pending fell to 33, near the record's fastest.6.44%30-yr avg$379KMetro ZHVI3.8Mo. supplyJuneStudyA hawkish first meeting for the new Federal Reserve chair pushed the thirty-year fixed to its fourth straight monthly rise even as the ten-year Treasury eased;and locally the two-year supply build decelerated rather than accelerated, the first sign that the inventory climb was leveling rather than compounding.6.49%30-yr avg$378KMetro ZHVI4.0Mo. supplyJulyStudyRates rose for a fourth straight week to twelve-month highs on tariff and geopolitical pressure, buyers kept applying anyway;and Atlanta became one of the few large metros still adding inventory while leading the country on delistings, a combination that put the negotiation on the seller's side of the table for the first time in the two-year record.6.54%30-yr avg$378KMetro ZHVI4.3Mo. supplyAugustStudyA Jackson Hole speech flipped the rate narrative from a possible cut to a possible hike, national prices fell in real terms for a thirteenth straight month;and between August 24 and August 26 Providentia's committed cycle classification moved for the first time in the two-year record, from Melt-Up to Correction, a system catching up to a local market that had been clearing through concessions and time for months.6.67%30-yr avg$377KMetro ZHVI5.0Mo. supplySeptemberStudyMortgage rates climbed back toward seven percent in September, the sharpest monthly move in over a year, into a local market that had spent the summer building supply and slowing down;so the question moved from price to whether a deal clears at all.6.86%30-yr avg$377KAug Metro ZHVI5.0Aug Mo. supplyNew this month

What the year meant

  • For a buyer

    Selection and time arrived together; purchasing power carried from spring was stale by fall.

  • For a seller

    The default advantage ended; clearing moved to concession and days, not the asking headline.

  • For a practice

    A supply-led softening into firm rates reads as a late-cycle plateau, not a downturn.

What to watch

  1. Whether the September rate move holds or fades on the October survey.
  2. Whether the record supply build keeps climbing into the fall, when listings normally thin.
  3. Whether the median-sale strength was a spring mix effect that fades with the season.
  4. Zillow's September and fourth-quarter releases, for whether the value drift steadies.

The close · Sources

Sources and method

Sources and method

Rates from Freddie Mac PMMS via FRED (MORTGAGE30US, MORTGAGE15US) and the US Treasury (DGS10). Values, inventory, pace, price cuts, and rent from Zillow Research, pulled for the month each figure summarizes. Months of supply and the payment stack are computed from those public series; the long-run norm on the rate exhibit is the since-1971 average from the history base. Each month page states its own vintage; nothing here is backdated.

Data credits. Source: Federal Reserve · Source: Freddie Mac via FRED · Data Provided by Zillow Group

The Record · Atlanta residential · 2026 · Full-year study · compiled October 2026

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